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One Belt, One Road driven by Chinese steel exports

The origins of China’s massive One Belt, One Road (OBOR) plan lie in finding export markets for its excess steel production according to Clarskons Platou analyst John D’Ancona.

Marcus Hand, Editor

April 25, 2016

2 Min Read
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Speaking last Thursday, D’Ancona, director –dry analysts for Clarksons Platou Asia, argued that the skeleton of OBOR connecting China with emerging markets in regions such Africa and Southeast Asia had been in place for quite a number of years.

“I think in essence the bones and structure have been in existence for quite a while, we may not have known it as the One Belt, One Road, but we’ve certainly already started to experience it so it's a very real thing,” he said at the BNP Paribas and Moore Stephens Singapore Shipping Forum 2016.

He noted that China had “massively overshot” in terms of steel production versus domestic demand. In 2014 China produced 822.7m tonnes of steel and accounted for roughly 50% of global production.

As a result of its over production of steel China became a net exporter of steel in around 2006.

While much of the focus in the media has been on cheap exports to Europe and the US, which have drawn political ire, D’Ancona, argued that these exports were not what was important, but instead steel that was going to new markets.

“Lots of it was starting to help projects all over the world often in return for something the Chinese wanted,” he said.

The growth in shipping trade is being seen on what was described as the south – south routes, or Southern Silk Route. One such example was West African countries supplying China with crude oil, while in return China ships steel in supramaxes to these countries.

In terms of future growth it will come a large number of different developing countries, with trade enabling these countries to develop.

“Where is the next growth coming from? I don’t believe its one country like a China, I think it is a group of countries, and that is where the new shipping trade is,” D’Ancona said.

As these countries development infrastructure and increase exports with China spurring economic growth, which will in turn create new consumer demand.

“For me a see it like a skeleton framework to help the development going forward,” he said.

In terms of shipping demand the industry will need to understand which type of vessels will be required because as D’Ancona noted not every country would need capesize bulkers full of iron ore.

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About the Author

Marcus Hand

Editor

Marcus Hand is the editor of Seatrade Maritime News and a dedicated maritime journalist with over two decades of experience covering the shipping industry in Asia.

Marcus is also an experienced industry commentator and has chaired many conferences and round tables. Before joining Seatrade at the beginning of 2010, Marcus worked for the shipping industry journal Lloyd's List for a decade and before that the Singapore Business Times covering shipping and aviation.

In November 2022, Marcus was announced as a member of the Board of Advisors to the Singapore Journal of Maritime Talent and Technology (SJMTT) to help bring together thought leadership around the key areas of talent and technology.

Marcus is the founder of the Seatrade Maritime Podcast that delivers commentary, opinions and conversations on shipping's most important topics.

Conferences & Webinars

Marcus Hand regularly moderates at international maritime events. Below you’ll find a list of selected past conferences and webinars.

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